The Costs Of Coalition Building

Foreign aid, foreign trade and foreign directagainst a November 1990 United Nations Security
investment (FDI) have become weapons of massCouncil resolution authorizing the use of force to
persuasion, deployed in the building of both theevict Iraq from Kuwait - the United states scratched
pro-war, pro-American coalition of the willing and the$700 million in aid to the renegade country over the
French-led counter "coalition of the squealing".following decade.
By now it is clear that the United States will have toNor is the United States famous for keeping its
bear the bulk of the direct costs of the actualantebellum promises.
fighting, optimistically pegged at c. $200 billion. TheTurkey complains that the USA has still to honor its
previous skirmish in Iraq in 1991 consumed $80 billionaid commitments made prior to the first Gulf War.
in 2002 terms - nine tenths of which were shelled outHence its insistence on written guarantees, signed by
by grateful allies, such as Saudi Arabia and Japan.the president himself. Similarly, vigorous pledges to
Even so, the USA had to forgive $7 billion ofthe contrary aside, the Bush administration has
Egyptian debt. According to the General Accountingallocated a pittance to the reconstruction of
Office, another $3 billion were parceled at the timeAfghanistan in its budgets - and only after it is
among Turkey, Israel and other collaborators, partlyprompted to by an astounded Congress.
in the form of donations of surplus materiel andMacedonia hasn't been paid in full for NATO's
partly in subsidized military sales.presence on its soil during the Kosovo conflict in 1999.
This time around, old and newfound friends - such asThough it enjoyed $1 billion in forgiven debt and
Jordan, an erstwhile staunch supporter of Saddamsome cash, Pakistan is still waiting for quotas on its
Hussein - are likely to carve up c. $10 billion betweentextiles to be eased, based on an agreement it
them, says the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Jordanreached with the Bush administration prior to the
alone has demanded $1 billion.campaign to oust the Taliban.
According to the Knight Ridder Newspapers, inCongress is a convenient scapegoat. Asked whether
February 2003, an Israeli delegation has requested anTurkey could rely on a further dose of American
extra $4-5 billion in military aid over the next 2-3undertakings, Richard Boucher, a State Department
years plus $8 billion in loan guarantees. Israel, thespokesman, responded truthfully: "I think everybody
largest American foreign and military aid recipient, isis familiar with our congressional process."
already collecting c. $3 billion annually. It is followed byYet, the USA, despite all its shortcomings, is the only
Egypt with $1.3 billion a year - another rumoredgame in town. The European Union cannot be
beneficiary of $1 billion in American largesse.thought of as an alternative benefactor.
Turkey stands to receive c. $6 billion for making itselfEven when it promotes the rare coherent foreign
available (however reluctantly, belatedly, and fitfully)policy regarding the Middle East, the European Union
as staging grounds for the forces attacking Iraq.is no match to America's pecuniary determination and
Another $20 billion in loan guarantees and $1 billion inwell-honed pragmatism. In 2002, EU spending within
Saudi and Kuwaiti oil have been mooted.the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership amounted to a
In the thick of the tough bargaining, with Turkeymeager $700 million.
demurring and refusing to grant the USA access toThe EU signed association agreements with some
its territory, the International Monetary Fund -countries in the region and in North Africa. The
thought by many to be the long arm of US foreign"Barcelona Process", launched in 1995, is supposed to
policy - suddenly halted the disbursement of moneyculminate by 2010 in a free trade zone incorporating
under a two years old standby arrangement with thethe European Union, Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt,
impoverished country.Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, the Palestinian Authority,
It implausibly claimed to have just unearthedSyria and Turkey. Libya has an observer status and
breaches of the agreement by the TurkishCyprus and Malta have joined the EU in the
authorities. This systemic non-compliance was beingmeantime.
meticulously chronicled - and scrupulously ignored byAccording to the International Trade Monitor,
the IMF - for well over a year now by bothpublished by the Theodore Goddard law firm, the
indigenous and foreign media alike.Agadir Agreement, the first intra-Mediterranean free
Days after a common statement in support of thetrade compact, was concluded In March 2003
American stance, the IMF clinched a standbybetween Egypt, Jordan, Morocco and Tunisia. It is a
arrangement with Macedonia, the first in twoclear achievement of the EU.
turbulent years. On the same day, Bulgaria receivedThe European Union signed a Cooperation Agreement
glowing - and counterfactual - reviews from yetwith Yemen and, in 1989, with the Gulf Cooperation
another IMF mission, clearing the way for the releaseCouncil, comprising Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain,
of a tranche of $36 million out of a loan of $330Qatar, United Arab Emirates and Oman. A more
million. Bulgaria has also received $130 million in directcomprehensive free trade agreement covering
US aid between 2001-3, mainly through the Supportgoods, services, government procurement and
for East European Democracy (SEED) program.intellectual property rights is in the works. The GCC
But the IMF is only one tool in the administration'shas recently established a customs union as well.
shed. President Bush has increased America's foreignDespite the acrimony over Iran's not-so-civilian nuclear
aid by an unprecedented 50 percent between 2003-6program, the EU may soon ink a similar set of
to $15 billion. A similar amount was made availabletreaties with Iran with which the EU has a balanced
between 2003-8 to tackle AIDS, mainly in Africa.trade position - c. $7 billion of imports versus a little
Half this increase was ploughed into a Millenniumless in exports.
Challenge Account. It will benefit countries committedThe EU's annual imports from Iraq - at c. $4 billion -
to democracy, free trade, good governance, purgingare more than 50 percent higher than they were
corruption and nurturing the private sector. By 2005,prior to Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990. It purchases
the Account contained close to $5 billion and is beingmore than one quarter of Iraq's exports. The EU
replenished annually to maintain this level.exports to Iraq close to $2 billion worth of goods, far
This expensive charm offensive was intended to lureless than it did in the 1980s, but still a considerable
and neutralize the natural constituencies of thevalue and one fifth of the country's imports. EU aid
pacifistic camp: non government organizations,to Iraq since 1991 exceeds $300 million.
activists, development experts, developing countriesBut Europe's emphasis on trade and regional
and international organizations.integration as foreign policy instruments in the
As the war drew nearer, the E10 - the electedMediterranean is largely impracticable. America's cash
members of the Security Council - also cashed inis far more effective. Charlene Barshefsky, the
their chips.former United States trade representative from 1997
The United States has softened its position on tradeto 2001, explained why in an opinion piece in the New
tariffs in its negotiations of a free trade agreementYork Times:
with Chile. Immigration regulations were relaxed to"The Middle East ... has more trade barriers than any
allow in more Mexican seasonal workers. Chileother part of the world. Muslim countries in the region
received $2 million in military aid and Mexico $44trade less with one another than do African
million in development finance.countries, and much less than do Asian, Latin
US companies cooperated with Angola on theAmerican or European countries. This reflects both
development of offshore oilfields in the politicallyhigh trade barriers ... and the deep isolation Iran, Iraq
contentious exclave of Cabinda. Guinea andand Libya have brought on themselves through
Cameroon absorbed dollops of development aid.violence and support for terrorist groups ... 8 of (the
Currently, Angola receives c. $19 million inregion's) 11 largest economies remain outside the
development assistance.WTO."
Cameroon already benefits from military training andMoreover, in typical EU fashion, the Europeans
surplus US arms under the Excess Defense Articlesbenefit from their relationships in the region
(EDA) program as well as enjoying trade benefits indisproportionately.
the framework of the Africa Growth andBilateral EU-GCC trade, for instance, amounts to a
Opportunity Act. Guinea gets c. $26 million inrespectable $50 billion annually - but European
economic aid annually plus $3 million in military grantsinvestment in the region declined precipitously from
and trade concessions.$3 billion in 1999 to half that in 2000. The GCC, on its
The United States has also pledged to cause Iraq topart, has been consistently investing $4-5 billion
pay its outstanding debts, mainly to countries inannually in the EU economies.
Central and East Europe, notably to Russia andIt also runs an annual trade deficit of c. $9 billion with
Bulgaria. Iraq owes the Russian Federation alone closethe EU. Destitute Yemen alone imports $600 million
to $9 billion. Some of the Russian contracts with thefrom the EU and exports a meager $100 million to it.
Iraqi oil industry, thought to be worth dozens ofThe imbalance is partly attributable to European
billions of dollars, may even be honored by thenon-tariff trade barriers such as sanitary regulations
victors, promised the Bush administration. It renegedand to EU-wide export subsidies.
on both promises. Debt relief reduced Iraq's debt byNor does European development aid compensate for
90% and all Saddam Hussein era contracts werethe EU's egregious trade protectionism. Since 1978,
vitiated.the EU has ploughed only $210 million into Yemen's
Thus, the outlays on warfare are likely be dwarfedeconomy, for instance. A third of this amount was in
by the price tag of the avaricious constituents ofthe form of food support. The EU is providing only
president Bush's ramshackle coalition. New Yorkone fifth of the total donor assistance to the
Times columnist Paul Krugman aptly christened thiscountry.
mass bribery, "The Martial Plan". Quoting "someIn the meantime, the USA is busy signing trade
observers", he wrote:agreements with all and sundry, subverting what little
"The administration has turned the regular foreign aidleverage the EU could have possessed. In the
budget into a tool of war diplomacy. Small countriesfootsteps of a free trade agreement with Israel,
that currently have seats on the U.N. Security CouncilAmerica has concluded one with Jordan in 2000. The
have suddenly received favorable treatment for aidkingdom's exports to the United States responded
requests, in an obvious attempt to influence theirby soaring from $16 million in 1998 to c. $400 million in
votes. Cynics say that the 'coalition of the willing'2002. Washington negotiated a similar deal with
President Bush spoke of turns out to be a 'coalitionMorocco. It is usurping the EU's role on its own turf.
of the bought off' instead'."Who can blame French president Jacques Chirac for
But this is nothing new. When Yemen cast its voteblowing his lid?