One of the best fighter planesthe YAK


The Costs Of Coalition Building

Foreign aid, foreign trade and foreign directinstead'."
investment (FDI) have become weapons of mass
persuasion, deployed in the building of bothBut this is nothing new. When Yemen cast its
the pro-war, pro-American coalition of thevote against a November 1990 United Nations
willing and the French-led counter "coalitionSecurity Council resolution authorizing the
of  the  squealing".use of force to evict Iraq from Kuwait - the
United states scratched $700 million in aid
By now it is clear that the United Statesto the renegade country over the following
will have to bear the bulk of the directdecade.
costs of the actual fighting, optimistically
pegged at c. $200 billion. The previousNor is the United States famous for keeping
skirmish in Iraq in 1991 consumed $80 billionits  antebellum  promises.
in 2002 terms - nine tenths of which were
shelled out by grateful allies, such as SaudiTurkey complains that the USA has still to
Arabia  and  Japan.honor its aid commitments made prior to the
first Gulf War. Hence its insistence on
Even so, the USA had to forgive $7 billion ofwritten guarantees, signed by the president
Egyptian debt. According to the Generalhimself. Similarly, vigorous pledges to the
Accounting Office, another $3 billion werecontrary aside, the Bush administration has
parceled at the time among Turkey, Israel andallocated a pittance to the reconstruction of
other collaborators, partly in the form ofAfghanistan in its budgets - and only after
donations of surplus materiel and partly init  is  prompted to by an astounded Congress.
subsidized  military  sales.
Macedonia hasn't been paid in full for NATO's
This time around, old and newfound friends -presence on its soil during the Kosovo
such as Jordan, an erstwhile staunchconflict in 1999. Though it enjoyed $1
supporter of Saddam Hussein - are likely tobillion in forgiven debt and some cash,
carve up c. $10 billion between them, saysPakistan is still waiting for quotas on its
the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Jordantextiles to be eased, based on an agreement
alone  has  demanded  $1  billion.it reached with the Bush administration prior
to  the  campaign  to  oust  the  Taliban.
According to the Knight Ridder Newspapers, in
February 2003, an Israeli delegation hasCongress is a convenient scapegoat. Asked
requested an extra $4-5 billion in militarywhether Turkey could rely on a further dose
aid over the next 2-3 years plus $8 billionof American undertakings, Richard Boucher, a
in loan guarantees. Israel, the largestState Department spokesman, responded
American foreign and military aid recipient,truthfully: "I think everybody is familiar
is already collecting c. $3 billion annually.with  our  congressional  process."
It is followed by Egypt with $1.3 billion a
year - another rumored beneficiary of $1Yet, the USA, despite all its shortcomings,
billion  in  American  largesse.is the only game in town. The European Union
cannot be thought of as an alternative
Turkey stands to receive c. $6 billion forbenefactor.
making itself available (however reluctantly,
belatedly, and fitfully) as staging groundsEven when it promotes the rare coherent
for the forces attacking Iraq. Another $20foreign policy regarding the Middle East, the
billion in loan guarantees and $1 billion inEuropean Union is no match to America's
Saudi  and  Kuwaiti  oil  have  been  mooted.pecuniary determination and well-honed
pragmatism. In 2002, EU spending within the
In the thick of the tough bargaining, withEuro-Mediterranean Partnership amounted to a
Turkey demurring and refusing to grant themeager  $700  million.
USA access to its territory, the
International Monetary Fund - thought by manyThe EU signed association agreements with
to be the long arm of US foreign policy -some countries in the region and in North
suddenly halted the disbursement of moneyAfrica. The "Barcelona Process", launched in
under a two years old standby arrangement1995, is supposed to culminate by 2010 in a
with  the  impoverished  country.free trade zone incorporating the European
Union, Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt,
It implausibly claimed to have just unearthedIsrael, Jordan, Lebanon, the Palestinian
breaches of the agreement by the TurkishAuthority, Syria and Turkey. Libya has an
authorities. This systemic non-compliance wasobserver status and Cyprus and Malta have
being meticulously chronicled - andjoined  the  EU  in  the  meantime.
scrupulously ignored by the IMF - for well
over a year now by both indigenous andAccording to the International Trade Monitor,
foreign  media  alike.published by the Theodore Goddard law firm,
the Agadir Agreement, the first
Days after a common statement in support ofintra-Mediterranean free trade compact, was
the American stance, the IMF clinched aconcluded In March 2003 between Egypt,
standby arrangement with Macedonia, the firstJordan, Morocco and Tunisia. It is a clear
in two turbulent years. On the same day,achievement  of  the  EU.
Bulgaria received glowing - and
counterfactual - reviews from yet another IMFThe European Union signed a Cooperation
mission, clearing the way for the release ofAgreement with Yemen and, in 1989, with the
a tranche of $36 million out of a loan ofGulf Cooperation Council, comprising Saudi
$330 million. Bulgaria has also received $130Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, United Arab
million in direct US aid between 2001-3,Emirates and Oman. A more comprehensive free
mainly through the Support for East Europeantrade agreement covering goods, services,
Democracy  (SEED)  program.government procurement and intellectual
property rights is in the works. The GCC has
But the IMF is only one tool in therecently established a customs union as well.
administration's shed. President Bush has
increased America's foreign aid by anDespite the acrimony over Iran's
unprecedented 50 percent between 2003-6 tonot-so-civilian nuclear program, the EU may
$15 billion. A similar amount was madesoon ink a similar set of treaties with Iran
available between 2003-8 to tackle AIDS,with which the EU has a balanced trade
mainly  in  Africa.position - c. $7 billion of imports versus a
little  less  in  exports.
Half this increase was ploughed into a
Millennium Challenge Account. It will benefitThe EU's annual imports from Iraq - at c. $4
countries committed to democracy, free trade,billion - are more than 50 percent higher
good governance, purging corruption andthan they were prior to Iraq's invasion of
nurturing the private sector. By 2005, theKuwait in 1990. It purchases more than one
Account contained close to $5 billion and isquarter of Iraq's exports. The EU exports to
being replenished annually to maintain thisIraq close to $2 billion worth of goods, far
level.less than it did in the 1980s, but still a
considerable value and one fifth of the
This expensive charm offensive was intendedcountry's imports. EU aid to Iraq since 1991
to lure and neutralize the naturalexceeds  $300  million.
constituencies of the pacifistic camp: non
government organizations, activists,But Europe's emphasis on trade and regional
development experts, developing countries andintegration as foreign policy instruments in
international  organizations.the Mediterranean is largely impracticable.
America's cash is far more effective.
As the war drew nearer, the E10 - the electedCharlene Barshefsky, the former United States
members of the Security Council - also cashedtrade representative from 1997 to 2001,
in  their  chips.explained why in an opinion piece in the New
York  Times:
The United States has softened its position
on trade tariffs in its negotiations of a"The Middle East ... has more trade barriers
free trade agreement with Chile. Immigrationthan any other part of the world. Muslim
regulations were relaxed to allow in morecountries in the region trade less with one
Mexican seasonal workers. Chile received $2another than do African countries, and much
million in military aid and Mexico $44less than do Asian, Latin American or
million  in  development  finance.European countries. This reflects both high
trade barriers ... and the deep isolation
US companies cooperated with Angola on theIran, Iraq and Libya have brought on
development of offshore oilfields in thethemselves through violence and support for
politically contentious exclave of Cabinda.terrorist groups ... 8 of (the region's) 11
Guinea and Cameroon absorbed dollops oflargest  economies  remain  outside the WTO."
development aid. Currently, Angola receives
c.  $19  million  in  development assistance.Moreover, in typical EU fashion, the
Europeans benefit from their relationships in
Cameroon already benefits from militarythe  region  disproportionately.
training and surplus US arms under the Excess
Defense Articles (EDA) program as well asBilateral EU-GCC trade, for instance, amounts
enjoying trade benefits in the framework ofto a respectable $50 billion annually - but
the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act. GuineaEuropean investment in the region declined
gets c. $26 million in economic aid annuallyprecipitously from $3 billion in 1999 to half
plus $3 million in military grants and tradethat in 2000. The GCC, on its part, has been
concessions.consistently investing $4-5 billion annually
in  the  EU  economies.
The United States has also pledged to cause
Iraq to pay its outstanding debts, mainly toIt also runs an annual trade deficit of c. $9
countries in Central and East Europe, notablybillion with the EU. Destitute Yemen alone
to Russia and Bulgaria. Iraq owes the Russianimports $600 million from the EU and exports
Federation alone close to $9 billion. Some ofa meager $100 million to it. The imbalance is
the Russian contracts with the Iraqi oilpartly attributable to European non-tariff
industry, thought to be worth dozens oftrade barriers such as sanitary regulations
billions of dollars, may even be honored byand  to  EU-wide  export  subsidies.
the victors, promised the Bush
administration. It reneged on both promises.Nor does European development aid compensate
Debt relief reduced Iraq's debt by 90% andfor the EU's egregious trade protectionism.
all Saddam Hussein era contracts wereSince 1978, the EU has ploughed only $210
vitiated.million into Yemen's economy, for instance. A
third of this amount was in the form of food
Thus, the outlays on warfare are likely besupport. The EU is providing only one fifth
dwarfed by the price tag of the avariciousof the total donor assistance to the country.
constituents of president Bush's ramshackle
coalition. New York Times columnist PaulIn the meantime, the USA is busy signing
Krugman aptly christened this mass bribery,trade agreements with all and sundry,
"The Martial Plan". Quoting "some observers",subverting what little leverage the EU could
he  wrote:have possessed. In the footsteps of a free
trade agreement with Israel, America has
"The administration has turned the regularconcluded one with Jordan in 2000. The
foreign aid budget into a tool of warkingdom's exports to the United States
diplomacy. Small countries that currentlyresponded by soaring from $16 million in 1998
have seats on the U.N. Security Council haveto c. $400 million in 2002. Washington
suddenly received favorable treatment for aidnegotiated a similar deal with Morocco. It is
requests, in an obvious attempt to influenceusurping the EU's role on its own turf. Who
their votes. Cynics say that the 'coalitioncan blame French president Jacques Chirac for
of the willing' President Bush spoke of turnsblowing his lid?
out to be a 'coalition of the bought off'



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