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A new revolution in aviation or another dot com bust?

A number of years ago several groups ofcertified by the FAA using new technology
individuals decided that the world ofwhich allows assembly line construction of
aviation was ready for another revolution -the aircraft with fewer employees than the
the introduction of very light jets. Thesetraditional manufacturing method of riveting
jets would weigh less than 10,000 pounds, bealuminum. Despite these projected
operated by one pilot, carry 4-5 passengersefficiencies, Eclipse will still need to
at 41,000 feet over 1,000 nautical miles, andproduce at least 500 aircraft per year to
operate off of small municipal airports withbreak even. But Eclipse is not the only
runways  only  3,000  feet  long.player in this game. Cessna Aircraft Company
has certified its Cessna Citation Mustang,
These new aircraft are known as very lightand others are getting close. Adam Aircraft's
jets - vljs and are expected to be purchasedA 700 jet is close, and Honda will
by air taxi operators and owner/pilots makingmanufacture the Honda Jet, Embraer the Phenom
the transition from piston or turboprop100 and now Piper Aircraft has introduced its
aircraft to turbojets. Depending upon whomnew Piper Jet. There are presently some
you listen to this market will explodetwelve  manufacturers  pursuing  this market.
producing thousands of aircraft over the next
ten years, or it is just a new way forTo understand the issue it should be noted
investors to lose millions of dollars inthat in 2006 a total of 629 business jets
another  dot  com  bust.were manufactured in the first three
quarters, which works out to an annual rate
Some worry that the air transport system inof 840 business jets for 2006. For Eclipse
the United States will not be able toto sell 500 new very light jets per year
accomodate all of these new aircraft, a factwould clearly be a major accomplishment,
which is probably untrue. While these newconsidering all of the competition it faces.
vljs will operate at the same altitudes asFor the most part Eclipse, and the new dot
commercial airliners, few will venture intocommers, feel the market lies in the air taxi
the major airports. After all, the advantagebusiness. This is a market where small jets
of these new small jets is their ability tooperate frequently from and to small airports
operate out of the smaller satellite airportswhich are closer to businesses. To
in many communites throughout the Unitedaccomplish this goal requires a large number
States. Further, there is still a lot of skyof aircraft because each of these small jets
out there, and it is unlikely to overburdenseats only 4 or 5 passengers. Another
the  present  system.problem  is  where the pilots will come from.
A more significant concern is whether or notSo, the questions is, is this to be another
there really is a market for these aircraft.dot com bust, or the dawn of a new era in
One manufacturer, Eclipse Aviation, isaviation? Only time will tell.
manufacturing a new aircraft recently



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